oracle — price-target engine

Price & targets

P(up) across horizons

Probability of an up move by each horizon (blue) vs a 50/50 coin-flip (grey), with ensemble confidence (yellow). The SHAPE is the forecast — rising = edge builds over time, falling = it's a near-term move.

Consensus matrix — every voter × every horizon

Each signal's directional lean (−1…+1) at each horizon. A column that's mostly one colour = strong agreement; mixed = the voters disagree. Green up, red down, brighter = stronger.

All voters — lean across horizons

Each line is one signal's lean from 1h to 1w. Above zero = leaning up, below = down. Lines clustered = consensus; spread apart = disagreement.

Why — money-flow drivers

Horizons

How to read this table ⓘ what each column means

Horizon	Bias	P(up)	Target	Range (lo–hi)	Move	Conf

The 12 signals · what each reads (click to open)

Dealer hedging mechanics — GEX (gamma: pin vs amplify + walls) · Gamma·by-expiry (gamma term structure) · DEX (net delta tilt + flip) · Vanna/Charm (vol- & time-driven flows)

Volatility pricing — Skew (put-vs-call IV smirk) · Vol-regime (IV term structure + vol risk premium)

Real-money flow & positioning — Flow (premium $ by retail/institutional cohort) · PCR (put/call volume breadth) · Max-pain (OI walls + held positions)

Intraday — 0DTE (same-day gamma + flow) · Momentum — Greeks-pulse (rate of change / regime turn) · Cross-asset — Whispers (risk-on/off from credit, rates, USD, gold, vol — the one non-options angle)

◎ Oracle (this page) fuses all 12 → direction + target + P(up) per horizon. ▦ Mosaic lays every signal × every timeframe as one heatmap. ⚖ Calibration scores how accurate each signal has been.

Definitions — how to read this

Oracle — fuses every money-flow signal into one call: direction, target & confidence at each horizon (1h → 1w).

Voter — an independent app (gex, gammacontracts, skew, options-flow, …), each reading one money-flow pattern and casting a directional vote.

P(up) — chance price is HIGHER when the window ends. Above 50% = likely up. The weighted blend of all voters.

Target / Range — the option-implied move (from ATM IV) for that horizon, leaned by net flow and dealer levels.

Confidence — how strongly the voters agree. Weights are heuristic now; Phase-3 backtest calibration makes the probabilities real.